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An empirical investigation into exchange regime choice and exchange rate volatility

Berger, Helge; Sturm, Jan-Egbert; Haan, Jakob de - 2000

We test a simple model of exchange rate regime choice with data for non-OECD countries covering the period 1980-94. We find the variance of output at home and in potential target countries as well as the correlation between home and foreign real activity are powerful and robust predictors of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001473991

Factor price equalization? : The cointegration approach revisited

Berger, Helge; Westermann, Frank - 2001

Factor price equality across countries is an important implication of the Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson model of international trade. Although an influential theoretical result, the model has received surprisingly little empirical support. Burgman and Geppert (1993) argue that this might be due to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001597644

Political Determinants of Fossil Fuel Pricing

van Beers, Cees - 2017

This paper provides an empirical analysis of economic and political determinants of gasoline and diesel prices for about 200 countries over the period 1991-2010. A range of both political and economic variables are found to systematically influence fuel prices, and in ways that differ...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974285

Cheap but flighty : how global imbalances create financial fragility

Ahnert, Toni; Perotti, Enrico C. - 2015

We analyze how a wealth shift to emerging countries may lead to instability in developed countries. Investors exposed to expropriation risk are willing to pay a safety premium to invest in countries with good property rights. Domestic intermediaries compete for such cheap funding by carving out...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011304762

The economics and political economy of energy subsidies

Strand, Jon (ed.) - 2015

Government subsidies to energy are widespread and represent a heavy burden on public budgets in many countries. Both producers and consumers may be subsidized; the most common subsidies are for motor fuel consumption and electricity production and consumption. The subsidies to consumers often...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384534

Macroeconomic dynamics and credit risk : a global perspective

Pesaran, M. Hashem; Schuermann, Til; Treutler, Björn-Jakob - 2003

We develop a framework for modeling conditional loss distributions through the introduction of risk factor dynamics. Asset value changes of a credit portfolio are linked to a dynamic global macroeconometric model, allowing macro effects to be isolated from idiosyncratic shocks. Default...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001784147

Exploring the international linkages of the euro area : a global VAR analysis ; presented at CESifo Area Conference on Macro, Money and International Finance, February 2005

Dées, Stéphane; Di Mauro, Filippo; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2005

This paper presents a global model linking individual country vector error-correcting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific variables as an approximate solution to a global common factor model. This global VAR is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002754808

A pair-wise approach to testing for output and growth convergence

Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2004

to output series in the Penn World Tables over 1950-2000, as well as to Maddion's historical series over 1870 …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521477

China's emergence in the world economy and business cycles in Latin America

Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Rebucci, … - 2012

world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009627525

IMF Credit : how important are political factors? ; a robustness analysis

Sturm, Jan-Egbert; Berger, Helge; Haan, Jakob de - 2002

We test weather, in addition to economic conditions, IMF credit is influenced by political factors. On the basis of a panel model for 128 countries over the period 1972-1998, we find that dept service scaled to exports, international reserve holdings scaled to imports and economic growth, as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001664920