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Fiscal sustainability in the EU after the global crisis : is there any progress?

Wysocki, Maciej; Wójcik, Cezary - 2018

interesting case of a member state that without significant market pressure (the only EU country without recession during the … crisis) actively promoted several changes in the EU fiscal framework (e.g. 6-pack) and effectively internalized some of these … 2014 Q1. The case of Poland seems to suggest that the post-crisis EU fiscal measures can be effectively used to increase …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900847

Euro membership and fiscal reaction functions

Weichenrieder, Alfons J.; Zimmer, Jochen - 2013

The paper uses fiscal reaction functions for a panel of euro-area countries to investigate whether euro membership has reduced the responsiveness of countries to shocks in the level of inherited debt compared to the period prior to succession to the euro. While we find some evidence for such a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748386

Trust in government and fiscal adjustments

Bursian, Dirk; Weichenrieder, Alfons J.; Zimmer, Jochen - 2013

The paper looks at the determinants of fiscal adjustments as reflected in the primary surplus of countries. Our conjecture is that governments will usually find it more attractive to pursue fiscal adjustments in a situation of relatively high growth, but based on a simple stylized model of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764994

Fiscal sustainability and the role of inflation

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Matvejevs, Oļegs; … - 2023

We examine the relationship between inflation and fiscal sustainability with a two-step approach. In the first step, we estimate to estimate a country-specific time-varying measure of fiscal sustainability using the fiscal reaction function. This function captures the response of the primary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444867

To consolidate or not to consolidate? : a multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Jalles, João Tovar - 2022

We assess the specific need (or its absence) of a country to implement a fiscal consolidation programme by focusing specifically on their degree of success, notably in terms of fiscal sustainability. The "need" to consolidate is based on having a primary balance above or below the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938962

Fiscal sustainability, fiscal reactions, pitfalls and determinants

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We conclude for the existence of panel cointegration between government revenues and expenditures; primary government balance and one-period lagged public debt-to-GDP ratio; and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162289

Sovereign risk dynamics in the EU : the time varying relevance of fiscal and external (im)balances

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Monteiro, Sofia - 2024

Acknowledging the potential detrimental impact that twin-deficits may have on sovereign risk, this study uses a two-step approach to assess the impact of fiscal and external sustainability on sovereign risk dynamics for a panel of 27 European Economies between 2001Q4 and 2022Q3. To do so, we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486806

Modeling fiscal sustainability in dynamic macro-panels with heterogeneous effects : evidence from German federal states

Feld, Lars P.; Köhler, Ekkehard A.; Wolfinger, Julia - 2018

In this paper, we extend Henning Bohn's (2008) fiscal sustainability test by allowing for slope heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence (CD). In particular, our econometric approach is the first that allows fiscal reaction functions (FRF) to capture unobserved heterogeneous effects from...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011822075

Fiscal transfers and fiscal sustainability

Potrafke, Niklas; Reischmann, Markus - 2014

We examine whether US and German state governments pursue sustainable fiscal policies taking into account fiscal transfers. Using panel data techniques we investigate whether the debt-to-GDP ratio had a positive influence on the primary surplus (Bohn-model). We show that including/excluding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260027

Spend-and-tax adjustments and the sustainability of the government's intertemporal budget constraint

Legrenzi, Gabriella Deborah; Milas, Costas - 2010

We apply non-linear error-correction models to the empirical testing of the sustainability of the government's intertemporal budget constraint. Our empirical analysis, based on Italy, shows that the Italian government is meeting its intertemporal budget constraint, in spite of the high levels of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936661

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