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with endogenous dynamics for the pandemic. There are three main results. First, the macroeconomic effects of the epidemic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258268
This paper shows that price rigidity evolves in an economy populated by imperfectly rational agents who experiment with alternative rules of thumb. In the model, firms must set their prices in face of aggregate demand shocks. Their payoff depends on the level of aggregate demand, as well as on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409938
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003639754
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We analyze optimal monetary policy and its implications for asset prices, when aggregate demand has inertia and responds to asset prices with a lag. If there is a negative output gap, the central bank optimally overshoots aggregate asset prices (asset prices are initially pushed above their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093040
Can public infrastructure help regions to mitigate large shocks? We examine how hospital infrastructure contributes to regional resilience in the event of serious health emergencies. During the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic, four out of every 1,000 Germans died. We find lower influenza mortality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383771
This paper studies the social and economic responses to the COVID-19 pandemic in a large sample of countries. I stress, in particular, the importance of countries' interconnections to un-derstand the spread of the virus. I estimate a Global VAR model and exploit a dataset on existing social...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263745
In early April 2020 we conducted a survey on a representative sample of more than 8,000 US households to study the effect of the coronavirus crisis on household income and retirement wealth, households’ expectations about the recovery, and the impact of the shock on individuals’ economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206687
We estimate the transmission of the pandemic shock in 2020 to prices in the residential and commercial real estate market by causal machine learning, using new granular data at the municipal level for Germany. We exploit differences in the incidence of Covid infections or short-time work at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013445569
Economy-wide shocks affect demand, supply, and intermediary sectors simultaneously. We dissect the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on international trade by combining information from customs records, smartphone-based human mobility, and container ship port calls. We find that local disruptions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015057719