Showing 1 - 10 of 189
cycle. While wages of the median establishment are moderately procyclical, 36 percent of establishments have countercyclical … wages. We estimate a negative connection between establishments' wage cyclicality and their employment cyclicality, thereby …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619265
firm level analysis for which we exploit a unique microeconomic data set for Germany. Inspired by this finding, we … subsequent recession in Germany even though it was by far not the main driver. -- oil price shock ; VAR model ; micro data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009010510
We review the labor market implications of recent real-business-cycle models that successfully replicate the empirical equity premium. We document the fact that all models considered in this survey with the exception of Boldrin, Christiano, and Fisher (2001) imply a negative correlation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011127
We examine the comovements between the output indexes of three German sectors (manufacturing, mining, and agriculture) and the three corresponding sectoral stock market indexes. It is found that data with and without seasonal adjustment give mixed results on the long-run interaction between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398919
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010363304
This paper shows that the matching function and the Beveridge curve in the United States exhibit strong nonlinearities over the business cycle. These patterns can be replicated by enhancing a search and matching model with idiosyncratic productivity shocks for new contacts. Large negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444082
The production index is an important indicator for assessing the cyclical state of the economy. Unfortunately, the monthly time series is contaminated by many noisy components like seasonal variations, calendar and vacation effects. Only part of those nuisance components are explicitly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514105
and Germany to condition the relationship between real wages and business fluctuations on the phase of the cycle, it is … general, the evidence for countercyclical wages is stronger in Germany than for the US, but taken together there is no clear …The cyclicality of real wages has important implications for the validity of competing business cycle theories. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449261
In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose German real GDP into the trend, cycle and seasonal components and the working day effect. The most important findings are: 1) The growth rate of potential output declined from 4.2 per cent in the sixties to 1.4 per cent at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409368
This paper studies the long-run relationship between consumption, asset wealth and income in Germany, based on data … these three variables from their common trend signal changes in asset prices, we find that for Germany they predict changes … Germany than in the Anglo-Saxon economies and the share of publicly traded equity in household wealth is much smaller in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002756342