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We test a simple model of exchange rate regime choice with data for 65 non-OECD countries covering the period 1980-94.We find that the variance of output at home and in potential target c ountries as well as the correlation between home and foreign real activity are powerful and robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781534
This paper provides evidence on the degree of persistence of one of the key components of the CAPM, namely the market risk premium, as well as its volatility. The analysis applies fractional integration methods to data for the US, Germany and Japan, and for robustness purposes considers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199998
area sovereign debt crises. We find that macro and default-specific world factors are a primary source of default …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484886
world population over the period 1800-2016. The analysis is carried out for the original series, and also for its log …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013550205
We analyse how reversals of several types of capital flows impact currency crises in emerging market and developing economies. Estimates of logit models show that reversals of (equity and debt) portfolio flows significantly increase the likelihood of currency crises in emerging market economies....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502445
It is often argued that deregulation of international transactions and its effects on the globalization of financial markets is behind the decline in the attractiveness of fixed exchange rate regimes. We argue that, instead, much of the recently observed decrease in the level of capital controls...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398048
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009722706
We test Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) using LIBOR interest rates for a wide range of maturities. In contrast to other markets, LIBOR markets have minimal frictions which could lead to rejecting UIP. Using panel unit root test suggested by Palm, Smeekes, and Urbain (2010) and cointegration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009570031
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003463167
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003499549