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What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? : a panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António (contributor); … - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641707

Budgetary and external imbalances relationship : a panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

between the two imbalances for each country for the period 1970-2007, and for different EU and OECD country groupings. The … balances. -- Budget balance ; external balance ; EU ; panel cointegration …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003808652

Spend-and-tax : a panel data investigation for the EU

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

, we study the causality between government spending and revenue for the EU in the period 1960-2006. We find spend … Finland and the UK, and for several EU New Member States. Moreover, in the run-up to EMU there was some shifting away from a … spend-and-tax strategy, implying adjustments of fiscal behaviour. -- panel causality ; fiscal policy ; EU …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861754

Bootstrap panel Granger-causality between government budget and external deficits for the EU

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

period 1970-2007, for different EU and OECD country groupings. We use the panel-data approach of Kónya (2006), which is based … budget deficits to current account deficits for several EU countries: Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Estonia, Finland, France … deficit ; external imbalance ; real exchange rates ; EU ; OECD …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003818006

Short and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields

Afonso, António - 2010

-term yields ; EU ; financial integration ; panel cointegration ; bootstrap …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732265

3-Step analysis of public finances sustainability : the case of the European Union

Afonso, António (contributor); … - 2008

We use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF … and revenues via SUR analysis. While results imply that public finances were not unsustainable for the EU panel, fiscal …. -- Fiscal sustainability ; EU ; panel cointegration …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003751092

Fiscal sustainability, fiscal reactions, pitfalls and determinants

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We conclude for the existence of panel cointegration between government revenues and expenditures; primary government balance and one-period lagged public debt-to-GDP ratio; and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162289

Unconventional monetary policy in the euro area : impacts on loans, employment, and investment

Afonso, António; Pereira, Francisco Gomes - 2022

Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy on a micro panel at the bank and firm level, we study the transmission effectiveness of ECB’s large-scale asset purchasing programs programs (i.e. APP and PEPP) in the Euro area. Our findings show: first, balance sheet composition of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888479

To consolidate or not to consolidate? : a multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Jalles, João Tovar - 2022

We assess the specific need (or its absence) of a country to implement a fiscal consolidation programme by focusing specifically on their degree of success, notably in terms of fiscal sustainability. The "need" to consolidate is based on having a primary balance above or below the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938962

Twin deficits through the looking glass : time-varying analysis in the euro area

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

Using two measures of the fiscal position, the cyclically adjusted primary budget balance (CAPB) and the total budget balance, we assess the Twin Deficit Hypothesis for the Euro Area in the period 1995-2020. Furthermore, we estimate time-varying coefficients of the current account balance...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813893