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In this paper we propose a methodology to estimate a dynamic factor model on data sets with an arbitrary pattern of missing data. We modify the Expectation Maximisation (EM) algorithm as proposed for a dynamic factor model by Watson and Engle (1983) to the case with general pattern of missing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973189
in a forecaster's toolkit. We base these conclusions on an extensive forecast evaluation over 1994 - 2018, an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299084
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010441087
Euro area labour market variables are published with a considerable lag, longer than in the case of real GDP. We develop a suite of models to provide a more timely estimate (nowcast) of euro area quarterly employment growth based on a broad range of monthly indicators. The suite includes a batch...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014315194