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We model EU countries' bank ratings using financial variables and allowing for intercept and slope heterogeneity. Our … aim is to assess whether "old" and "new" EU countries are rated differently and to determine whether "new" ones are … intercepts) are a crucial determinant of ratings. Whilst "new" EU countries typically have lower ratings than "old" ones, after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974520
functions which evaluate the entire predictive densities, including an evaluation of the impact of density features such as … individual density forecast performance. -- density forecasts ; forecast evaluation ; real-time data ; Survey of Professional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009387222
The paper assesses the communication strategies of the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank and their effectiveness. We find that the effectiveness of communication is not independent from the decisionmaking process in the committee. The paper shows that the Federal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003014292
In this paper we investigate the comparative properties of empirically-estimated monetary models of the U.S. economy. We make use of a new database of models designed for such investigations. We focus on three representative models: the Christiano, Eichenbaum, Evans (2005) model, the Smets and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008688516
The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in forecast accuracy among Fed watchers. Based on a novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 basis points between the best and worst-performers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003396783
The EMU accession countries are obliged to fulfill the Maastrich convergence criteria prior to entering the EMU. This paper uses a DSGE model of a two-sector small open economy, to address the following question: How do the Maastricht convergence criteria modify optimal monetary policy in an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778818
industries) in 25 EU countries over the period from 1995 to 2005. By applying a cross-country and industry-specific approach, it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008659411
In the course of the EU enlargement process, the participation of accession countries in the European Monetary Union …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397787
favor of remaining in the EU. Somewhat surprisingly, the intensity of immigration from the EU is positively correlated with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544086
A major characteristic of the European Union is its transitional or evolving nature, in particular with regard to the assignment of powers between the two main levels of government. More precisely, under current constitutional arrangements, this evolving nature takes the form of an integration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011508094