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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766427
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961
Recent interest in "Risk Management"has highlighted the relevance of Bayesian analysis for robust monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003747990
The paper examines the monetary-fiscal interactions in a monetary union model with uncertainty due to imperfect central bank transparency. We first show that monetary uncertainty disciplines fiscal policymakers and thereby reduces taxes, average inflation and output distortions. However, as more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749682
This paper studies optimal discretionary policy with parameter uncertainty about inflation inertia. Optimal policy rules and impulse responses are presented within a hybrid New-Keynesian model estimated for the euro area by Smets (2003). We find that it may be optimal for policy to respond more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003208613
The enlargement of the European Monetary Union is likely to lead to an increase in uncertainty regarding the transmission of monetary policy for the larger union. Adding new members to the central bank council will in addition imply that the policy reaction of the enlarged council will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003110104
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001702821
I estimate a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model where the policymaker and the private sector have imperfect knowledge about potential output. The estimation of the structural parameters and of the monetary authorities' objectives is key to assess the quantitative relevance of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116556
riskiness of counter parties and issuers is endogenous to the central bank's credit policies and related risk control framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083125
Recent interest in 'Risk Management' has highlighted the relevance of Bayesian analysis for robust monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316594