Showing 1 - 10 of 240
In this paper we study implied and realized volatility for the Nordic power forward market. We create an implied volatility index with a fixed time to maturity. This index is compared to a realized volatility time series calculated from high-frequency data. The results show that the implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208297
After executing option orders, options market makers turn to the stock market to hedge away the underlying stock … independent of options. The analysis shows that the option-induced imbalance significantly predicts future stock returns in the … cross section controlling for the past stock and options returns, but the imbalance independent of options has only a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010743556
options on the S&P 500 futures expire (pinning) and are pushed away from the cost-of-carry adjusted at-the-money strike price … right before the expiration of options on the S&P 500 index (anti-cross-pinning). These effects are driven by the interplay … (and early exercise) of in-the-money options by individual investors. The associated shift in notional futures value is at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010587978
We examine the information content of option and equity volumes when trade direction is unobserved. In a multimarket asymmetric information model, equity short-sale costs result in a negative relation between relative option volume and future firm value. In our empirical tests, firms in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010593832
This study analyzes the forecasting accuracy of the implied volatility of options on futures contracts for the delivery … of CO2 emission allowances (carbon options) traded on the European Climate Exchange. We demonstrate that option implied … volatility is highly informative about the variance of returns realized over the remaining life of the options. It is also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939429
We study returns on over-the-counter stocks and find that these returns are extremely negative on average. The distribution of OTC stock returns is highly positively skewed: while many of the stocks in our sample become worthless, a few do extremely well. We investigate whether this negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208265
Energy economy optimization (EEO) models employ formal search techniques to explore the future decision space over several decades in order to deliver policy-relevant insights. EEO models are a critical tool for decision-makers who must make near-term decisions with long-term effects in the face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588004
During the last years the worldwide legal framework has stimulated the biofuel development, causing their production and use to be exhaustively studied. Biodiesel has been mostly produced in European countries, but the agronomic potential of the Latin-American countries has led the effort toward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011189291
, to value the flexibility time to realize the development phase, we consider the American-Exchange type options …. -- American Exchange options ; game theory ; Montecarlo simulation ; R&D ; information revelation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003872189
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003965099