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We develop a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one. This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble one. In a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011401333
If global warming is to stay below 2°C, there are four risks of assets stranding. First, substantial fossil fuel reserves will be stranded at the end of the fossil era. Second, this will be true for exploration capital too. Third, unanticipated changes in present or expected future climate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039083
climate policy takes the form of carbon emission taxation and fossil fuel and consumption goods are traded on world markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010428830
This paper studies the formation of self-enforcing global environmental agreements in a world economy with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281297
tariffs ; retaliation ; tariff wars ; heterogeneous firms ; World Trade Organization ; Nash equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130204
We build on the latest developments in the structural gravity literature to quantify the partial and general equilibrium effects of GATT/WTO membership on trade and welfare. Using an extensive database covering manufacturing trade for 186 countries over the period 1980-2016, we find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287974
the book world and the political arena. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507914
In this paper we perform a meta-analysis of the effects of monetary policies on output and prices. We use a sample of published papers on the effects of monetary policies in different countries. There is a large variation in the estimated effects of monetary policies on output and prices. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449687
World trade evolves at two margins. Where a bilateral trading relationship already exists it may increase through time … have not traded with each other in the past (extensive margin). We provide an empirical dissection of post-World-War- II … growth in manufacturing world trade along these two margins. We propose a "cornersolutions- version"of the gravity model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450770
Do the U.S. have a current account surplus or a deficit with the EU? Since 2009, official sources disagree: The U.S. Department of Commerce claims a consistent U.S. surplus while Eurostat reports the opposite. International transactions are notoriously difficult to measure accurately, but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012065058