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U.S. Monetary Policy Normalization and Global Interest Rates
Caceres, Carlos - 2016
As the Federal Reserve continues to normalize its monetary policy, this paper studies the impact of U.S. interest rates on rates in other countries. We find a modest but nontrivial pass-through from U.S. to domestic short-term interest rates on average. We show that, to a large extent, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977769
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Inflation targets versus international monetary integration : a Canadian perspective
Laidler, David E. W. - 2002
The debate about Canadian-U.S. monetary integration is surveyed. The choice is among overall monetary orders,rather than exchange rate regimes and questions of policy credibility and political accountability are crucial. Canada's recent economic performance under inflation targets, and arguments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011541166
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Optimal conservatism and collective monetary policymaking under uncertainty
Hefeker, Carsten; Zimmer, Blandine - 2014
We study how the optimal degree of conservatism relates to decision-making procedures in a Monetary Policy Committee … (MPC). In our framework, central bank conservatism is required to attenuate the volatility of monetary decisions generated … by the presence of uncertainty about the committee member' output objective. We show how this need for conservatism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391838
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The role of political institutions for the effectiveness of central bank independence
Hielscher, Kai; Markwardt, Gunther - 2011
This paper empirically studies the impact of the quality of political institutions on the link between central bank independence and inflation. Making use of data on the evolution of central bank independence over time and controlling for possible nonlinearities, we employ interaction models to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009012047
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Causal effects of countercyclical interest rates : evidence from the classical gold standard
Mitchener, Kris; Pina, Gonçalo - 2022
We estimate the causal impact of countercyclical interest rates on macroeconomic outcomes in open economies. To identify countercyclical interest rates, we construct a new database of short-term interest rates, principal exports, and international commodity prices for 40 economies from 1870 to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013183777
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The effects of monetary policy on unemployment dynamics under model uncertainty : evidence from the US and the Euro area
Altavilla, Carlo; Ciccarelli, Matteo - 2009
This paper explores the role that the imperfect knowledge of the structure of the economy plays in the uncertainty surrounding the effects of rule-based monetary policy on unemployment dynamics in the euro area and the US. We employ a Bayesian model averaging procedure on a wide range of models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003813633
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Monetary policy analysis in real-time : vintage combination from a real-time dataset
Altavilla, Carlo; Ciccarelli, Matteo - 2011
This paper provides a general strategy for analyzing monetary policy in real time which accounts for data uncertainty without explicitly modelling the revision process. The strategy makes use of all the data available from a real-time data matrix and averages model estimates across all data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011352
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Monetary policy transparency
Geraats, Petra M. - 2014
There has been a remarkable rise in the transparency of monetary policy during the last two decades. This paper provides an overview of the ways in which central banks have been providing more information about their monetary policymaking. Furthermore, it reviews the theoretical literature on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010237274
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Monetary policy and the stock market : time-series evidence
Neuhierl, Andreas; Weber, Michael - 2016
We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. Slope predicts stock returns at the weekly frequency: faster monetary policy easing positively predicts excess returns. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566444
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Monetary policy rules in emerging countries : is there an augmented nonlinear taylor rule?
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Catik, A. Nazif; Helmi, … - 2016
This paper examines the Taylor rule in five emerging economies, namely Indonesia, Israel, South Korea, Thailand, and Turkey. In particular, it investigates whether monetary policy in these countries can be more accurately described by (i) an augmented rule including the exchange rate, as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011497748