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Uncertainty and monetary policy during extreme events
Pellegrino, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Caggiano, Giovanni - 2020
How damaging are uncertainty shocks during extreme events such as the great recession and the Covid-19 outbreak? Can monetary policy limit output losses in such situations? We use a nonlinear VAR framework to document the large response of real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288020
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Climate actions and stranded assets : the role of financial regulation and monetary policy
Diluiso, Francesca; Annicchiarico, Barbara; Kalkuhl, … - 2020
Limiting global warming to well below 20C may result in the stranding of carbon-sensitive assets. This could pose substantial threats to financial and macroeconomic stability. We use a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with financial frictions and climate policy to study the risks a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260638
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Climate change mitigation : how effective is green quantitative easing?
Abiry, Raphael; Ferdinandusse, Marien; Ludwig, Alexander; … - 2022
We develop a two sector incomplete markets integrated assessment model to analyse the effectiveness of green quantitative easing (QE) in complementing fiscal policies for climate change mitigation. We model green QE through an outstanding stock of private assets held by a monetary authority and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285512
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Carbon pricing and inflation expectations : evidence from France
Hensel, Jannik; Mangiante, Giacomo; Moretti, Luca - 2023
This paper examines the impact of carbon pricing on firms' inflation expectations and its implications for central banks' price stability mandate. Carbon policy shocks are identified using high-frequency identification and combined with French firm-level survey data. A change in carbon price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014312549
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Risk management-driven policy rate gap
Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Nodari, Gabriela - 2018
-Bernanke period only. Focusing on this period, the "risk-management" approach is found to be responsible for monetary policy easings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011884396
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Policy coordination under model disagreement and uncertainty
Hefeker, Carsten; Neugart, Michael - 2019
What are the incentives for governments to coordinate their policies internationally when there is model disagreement and uncertainty? We build a model where countries disagree on policy targets and how policies affect the economies, and show that uncertainty not only determines the type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011966668
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Policy risk and the business cycle
Born, Benjamin; Pfeifer, Johannes - 2013 - This version: July 11, 2013, First Version: December 2010
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961
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Uncertainty and fiscal policy in an asymmetric monetary union
Hefeker, Carsten (contributor); Zimmer, Blandine (contributor) - 2008
The paper examines the monetary-fiscal interactions in a monetary union model with uncertainty due to imperfect central bank transparency. We first show that monetary uncertainty disciplines fiscal policymakers and thereby reduces taxes, average inflation and output distortions. However, as more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749682
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Uncertainty, wage setting and decision making in a monetary union
Hefeker, Carsten (contributor) - 2005
The enlargement of the European Monetary Union is likely to lead to an increase in uncertainty regarding the transmission of monetary policy for the larger union. Adding new members to the central bank council will in addition imply that the policy reaction of the enlarged council will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003110104
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An unconventional FX tail risk story
Cañón, Carlos Iván; Gerba, Eddie; Pambira, Alberto; … - 2023
We examine how the tail risk of currency returns over the past 20 years were impacted by central bank (monetary and … effects last for up to 1 month, and are proportionally higher for joint QE actions. This cross-border source of tail risk is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336426