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inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
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excess liquidity reminiscent of the global inflation generated by the weak dollar in the 1970s. -- Inflation ; exchange rates …
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This paper aims to show why Irving Fisher's own data on interest rates and inflation in New York, London, Paris, Berlin … changes in inflation, not even in the long run. In Fisher's data, interest rates have more persistence than inflation and … change less than inflation over time. The Fisher effect is a misnomer unless it is taken to refer to what Fisher actually …
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We provide novel systematic cross-country evidence that the link between domestic labour markets and CPI inflation has … domestic labour cost changes to core CPI inflation decreased from 0.25 in the 1980s to just 0.02 in the 2010s, while the …
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