constitute long-term appreciation expectations on yuan and yen, which have made China and Japan vulnerable to U.S. interest rate … cuts and appreciation expectation shocks. For both China and Japan - at different points of time - self-fulfilling runs …, speculative bubbles and post-bubble secular stagnation. To prevent a similar scenario for China capital controls, a tighter …

We analyze current account imbalances through the lens of the two largest surplus countries; China and Germany. We … observe two striking patterns visible since the 2007/8 Global Financial Crisis. First, while China has been gradually reducing … these two countries, there is a remarkable reversal in the patterns of exchange rate misalignment: China’s currency has …