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The Covid-19 pandemic and European trade flows : evidence from a dynamic panel model
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sova, Anamaria Diana; Sova, … - 2022
This paper investigates the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on trade flows in the case of the European countries. First, an ARDL dynamic panel model is estimated using the PMG method to analyse monthly data covering the most recent period (2019M1-2021M12); then, the GMM and PCSE approaches are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285828
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Cross-border effects of fiscal consolidations : estimates based on narrative records
Hebous, Shafik; Zimmermann, Tom - 2013
We estimate cross-border spillover effects of fiscal consolidation episodes on output, bilateral trade flows, interest rate, and the exchange rate, employing the new IMF action-based fiscal consolidation data. Results indicate a negative effect of foreign fiscal consolidation policies on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764989
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Does the Swiss debt brake induce sound federal finances? : a synthetic control analysis
Pfeil, Christian F.; Feld, Lars P. - 2016
The Swiss debt brake is widely appreciated as one of the most rationally designed fiscal rules in the world and was thus also discussed as blueprint in the debates about fiscal rules in Germany, the European Union member states and Israel. However, evidence that this rule really contributes to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521945
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Optimal fiscal policy
Lukkezen, Jasper; Teulings, Coen N. - 2013
analytic solutions for optimal policy. The variables in our reduced-form model - growth, unemployment, primary surplus - have a … rule demands an immediate and large policy response that is procyclical to growth shocks and countercyclical to … currently followed by policy makers responds procyclically to both growth and unemployment shocks, and does so much slower than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743779
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Europe agreements and trade balance : evidence from four new EU members
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Rault, Christophe; Sova, Robert - 2011
This paper analyses the trade balance effects of Europe agreements (EA) between the EU-15 and four new EU members from Central and Eastern Europe (CEEC-4) using both static and dynamic panel data approaches. Specifically, the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM, Blundell and Bond, 1998)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009010184
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The tortoise and the hare : the race between vaccine rollout and new Covid variants
Turner, David; Égert, Balázs; Guillemette, Yvan; … - 2021
New variants of the virus are spreading which, together with seasonal effects, are estimated to be able to raise effective reproduction numbers by up to 90%. Meanwhile, many countries are rolling out vaccination programmes, but at varying speeds. Hence the race is on to beat the variants with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547063
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Trade flows, private credit and the Covid-19 pandemic : panel evidence from 35 OECD countries
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sova, Anamaria Diana; Sova, … - 2021
This paper analyses the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on exports and imports in the case of 35 OECD countries during the 2019Q1-2021Q2 period using a dynamic panel approach, specifically the system Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). In contrast to earlier studies, the empirical specification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668484
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Endogenous emission caps always induce a green paradox
Gerlagh, Reyer; Heijmans, Roweno; Rosendahl, Knut Einar - 2019
For any emission trading system (ETS) with quantity-based endogenous supply of allowances, there exists a negative demand shock, e.g. induced by abatement policy, that increases aggregate supply and thus cumulative emissions. We prove this green paradox for a general model and then apply it to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012105543
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Earnings inequality and the minimum wage : evidence from Brazil
Engbom, Niklas; Moser, Christian - 2017
We quantify the effect of a minimum wage on compression throughout the earnings distribution. Using the case of Brazil, which experienced a large decrease in earnings inequality while its real minimum wage increased from 1996-2012, we document that the inequality decrease was bottom-driven yet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619641
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The Covid-19 pandemic and European trade patterns : a sectoral analysis
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sova, Anamaria Diana; Sova, … - 2022
This paper examines how the Covid-19 pandemic affected European trade patterns. Specifically, dynamic panel data models are estimated to assess the effects on exports and imports of various sectors and products (selected on the basis of their trading volume or strategic importance) of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013457807