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Prediction and identification in two-sided markets
Boik, Andre - 2018
answers and can be used to estimate market power and pass through rates. I show that even a naive one-sided model that ignores …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011789113
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Special issue: Forecast uncertainty in macroeconomics and finance
Bollerslev, Tim (contributor) - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008667511
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Predictability of asset returns and the efficient market hypothesis
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2010
This paper is concerned with empirical and theoretical basis of the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). The paper begins with an overview of the statistical properties of asset returns at different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly), and considers the evidence on return predictability, risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983206
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A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz - 2016
Futures markets are a potentially valuable source of information about price expectations. Exploiting this information has proved difficult in practice, because time-varying risk premia often render the futures price a poor measure of the market expectation of the price of the underlying asset....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011434566
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Can inflation data improve the real-time reliability of output gap estimates?
Planas, Christophe; Rossi, Alessandro - In: Journal of applied econometrics 19 (2004) 1, pp. 121-133
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001924696
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The global component of inflation volatility
Carriero, Andrea; Corsello, Francesco; Marcellino, … - In: Journal of applied econometrics 37 (2022) 4, pp. 700-721
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013332682
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Building daily economic sentiment indicators
Rey del Castillo, Pilar - 2022
The availability of copious amounts of data produced by the increasing datification of our society is nowadays deemed an opportunity to produce timely and convenient statistical information. This paper shows the building of economic sentiment indexes from the texts of the most read economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013453734
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Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting GDP with many predictors : empirical evidence for six industrialized countries
Kuzin, Vladimir; Marcellino, Massimiliano; Schumacher, … - In: Journal of applied econometrics 28 (2013) 3, pp. 392-411
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009756514
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Exchange rates and monetary fundamentals : what do we learn from long-horizon regressions?
Kilian, Lutz - In: Journal of applied econometrics 14 (1999) 5, pp. 491-510
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001421490
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Forecastability and statistical characteristics of aggregate oil and gas investments on the Norwegian Continental Shelf
Lorentzen, Sindre; Osmundsen, Petter - 2016
We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544319