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Japan's low inflation conundrum
Mayer, Thomas; Schnabl, Gunther - 2022
The paper analyses the reasons for Japan's persistently low inflation since the bursting of the Japanese bubble economy … (low inflation conundrum). It is shown that Japan experienced a structural break from a high-growth period with relatively … creation in Japan's post-bubble period. With the price level being assumed to be dependent on both goods with free market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013284915
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Policy mix and debt sustainability : evidence from fiscal policy rules
Claeys, Peter (contributor) - 2005
This paper characterises rules-based fiscal policy setting. Basically, we translate a standard monetary policy rule into a simple fiscal policy rule. We then infer on fiscal policymakers' reaction coefficients by testing the rule with GMM. Interaction is also tested directly by the inclusion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002578199
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The macroeconomic policy challenges of balance sheet recession : lessons from Japan for the European crisis
Schnabl, Gunther - 2013
The paper compares the boom-and-bust cycles in Japan and Europe with respect to the reasons for excessive booms, the … characteristics of the crises, and the (potential) effects of the crisis therapies. As in Japan the consequence of expansionary … well as gradual real income losses, the economic policy implication for Japan and Europe is the timely exit from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743745
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Subjective models of the macroeconomy : evidence from experts and a representative sample
Andre, Peter; Pizzinelli, Carlo; Roth, Christopher; … - 2019
We propose a method to measure people's subjective models of the macroeconomy. Using a sample of 2,200 households representative of the US population and a sample of more than 1,000 experts, we measure beliefs about how the unemployment rate and the inflation rate respond to four different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104048
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Macroeconomic shocks and racial labour market differences in the U.S.
De, Kuhelika; Compton, Ryan A.; Giedeman, Daniel C.; … - 2019
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
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The ECB's policy, the recovery fund and the importance of trust : the case of Greece
Dimakopoulou, Vasiliki; Oikonomidēs, Geōrgios; … - 2021
This paper, using a microfounded macroeconomic model that embeds the key features of the Greek economy, studies the efficacy of the various policy measures taken, at national and EU level, to cushion the economic effects of the pandemic shock. The paper attempts to give quantitative answers to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650611
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The failure of ECB monetary policy from a Mises-Hayek perspective
Schnabl, Gunther - 2017
The paper analyses the common European monetary policy based on a Mises-Hayek overinvestment framework, which is combined with the theory of optimum currency areas. It shows how since the turn of the millennium a too expansionary monetary policy contributed to unsustainable overinvestment booms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619626
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Can central banks do the unpleasant job that governments should do?
Dimakopoulou, Vasiliki; Oikonomidēs, Geōrgios; … - 2023
We investigate what happens when the fiscal authorities do not react to rising public debt so that the unpleasant task of fiscal sustainability falls upon the Central Bank (CB). In particular, we explore whether the CB's bond purchases in the secondary market can restore stability and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014331713
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Fiscal transfers in a monetary union with exit option
Hefeker, Carsten; Neugart, Michael - 2015
It is widely debated whether a monetary union has to be accompanied by a fiscal transfer scheme to accommodate asymmetric shocks. We build a model of a monetary union with a central bank and two heterogeneous countries that are linked by a fiscal transfer scheme with repercussions on monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010492336
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Limits of monetary policy autonomy by East Asian debtor central banks
Löffler, Axel; Schnabl, Gunther; Schobert, Franziska - 2012
thereby increase surplus liquidity. East Asian central banks with more flexible exchange rate regimes also face surplus … liquidity that mainly emanates from past accumulation of foreign reserves. We show based on an augmented Barro …-Gordon-type central bank loss function that in both cases surplus liquidity limits monetary policy autonomy. In case of fixed exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009500749