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We examine asset prices in a representative-agent model of general equilibrium. Assuming only that individuals are risk … averse, we determine conditions on the changes in asset risk that are both necessary and sufficient for the asset price to … incomplete in the sense of containing an uninsurable background risk, such as a risk on labor income. We extend our model to show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398103
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961
boom yields consistently positive excess returns. This excess return compensates for the risk of high negative returns in … countries on risk aversion, and low (high) risk aversion currencies depreciate (appreciate) in times of global turmoil. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009752999
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degree of pessimism of the representative agent is the mean of the individual ones weighted by their index of absolute risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507677
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Restrictions on the risk-pricing in dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) can unleash the power of no-arbitrage by … econometric framework for estimation of affine Gaussian DTSMs under restrictions on risk prices, which addresses the issues of a … the US Treasury yield curve. The data strongly favor tight restrictions on risk pricing: only level risk is priced, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491726
The paper examines the monetary-fiscal interactions in a monetary union model with uncertainty due to imperfect central bank transparency. We first show that monetary uncertainty disciplines fiscal policymakers and thereby reduces taxes, average inflation and output distortions. However, as more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749682
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