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The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and the role of expectations : evidence from the Ifo world economic survey
Henzel, Steffen (contributor);  … - 2006
We provide evidence on the fit of the hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve for selected euro zone countries, the US and the UK. Instead of imposing rational expectations and estimating the Phillips curve by the Generalized Method of Moments, we follow Roberts (1997) and Adam and Padula (2003) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301367
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Optimal central bank design : benchmarks for the ECB
Berger, Helge (contributor) - 2006
The paper discusses key elements of optimal central bank design and applies its findings to the Eurosystem. A particular focus is on the size of monetary policy committees, the degree of centralization, and the representation of relative economic size in the voting rights of regional (or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003301388
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Assessing the macroeconomic forecasting performance of boosting : evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany
Buchen, Teresa; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2013
The use of large datasets for macroeconomic forecasting has received a great deal of interest recently. Boosting is one possible method of using high-dimensional data for this purpose. It is a stage-wise additive modelling procedure, which, in a linear specification, becomes a variable selection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721997
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Statements of ECB officials and their effect on the level and volatility of the Euro-Dollar exchange rate
Jansen, David-Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2003
This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We find that the Bundesbank has dominated the news...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507830
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Transatlantic monetary and fiscal policy interaction
Aarle, Bas van; Garretsen, Harry; Huart, Florence - 2003
This paper studies the design, effects and interactions of monetary and fiscal policies in the euro-area and between the euro-area and the non euro-area. To do so, a stylized three-country model of monetary and fiscal policy rules is constructed. It is analyzed how monetary and fiscal rules...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509484
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Exploring the international linkages of the euro area : a global VAR analysis
Dées, Stéphane; Di Mauro, Filippo; Pesaran, M. Hashem; … - 2005
This paper presents a global model linking individual country vector error-correcting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific variables as an approximate solution to a global common factor model. This global VAR is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002746106
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The macroeconomic policy challenges of balance sheet recession : lessons from Japan for the European crisis
Schnabl, Gunther - 2013
The paper compares the boom-and-bust cycles in Japan and Europe with respect to the reasons for excessive booms, the … characteristics of the crises, and the (potential) effects of the crisis therapies. As in Japan the consequence of expansionary … well as gradual real income losses, the economic policy implication for Japan and Europe is the timely exit from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743745
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Business cycles, international trade and capital flows : evidence from Latin America
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Girardi, Alessandro - 2012
American (LA) countries and the four largest economies in the world (namely the US, the Euro area, Japan and China) over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009683383
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What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? : a panel data diagnostic
Afonso, António (contributor);  … - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641707
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Economic, political and institutional determinants of budget deficits in the European Union
Bayar, Ali H.; Smeets, Bram - 2009
Using an extended data set of EU countries ranging from 1971-2006 and relevant econometric methods, we investigate the economic, political, and institutional determinants of government deficits in the EU. The results show a strong opportunistic behaviour of policymakers which leads to political...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003831961