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inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001048328
uncertainty about the composition or timing of a stabilization. Under full certainty, inflation may rise, fall, or remain constant … there is no simple correlation between changes in the budget deficit and inflation. With uncertainty about the timing OF a … stabilization, the inflation rate will most likely exhibit fluctuations and may overshoot its steady state value, even when real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477065
sustained inflation are small relative to the costs of unemployment. If a temporary reduction in unemployment causes a permanent … increase in inflation, the present value of the resulting future welfare costs may well exceed the temporary short-run gain …. Previous analyses have underestimated the cost of a permanent increase in the inflation rate because they have ignored the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012478932
solutions such as the conservative central banker and optimal inflation contracts. Our theoretical model also shows how an … inflation targeting range should be set and how it should respond to changes in the nature of shocks to the economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466281
inflation: the "myopic? government approach and the "weak" government approach. In myopic government models inflation is the … deliberate outcome of politicians strategic behavior, while in weak government models inflation is the unavoidable result of a … political developments in 76 countries for the period 1971-1982. Using a number of alternative definitions of the inflation tax …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475286
explosion of inflation during his administration (above 1,500% on a six-month annualized measure) was predictable, and that the … that the combination of runaway inflation, shortages, and black markets generated major disaffection among the middle class …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014437020
stronger bargaining position when they try to prevent a cut in money wages. If inflation is so low that some money wages have … to be cut, workers stronger bargaining position requires higher unemployment in equilibrium. However, inflation is more … stable when money wage rigidity binds, providing an incentive for monetary policy makers to choose a low target for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398859
. Therefore, in periods with inflation generous tax depreciation provisions do not adequately promote private investment as … designed, but partly compensate such losses caused by inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399561
consider the implications of a risk premium that arises from endogenous market segmentation driven by variable inflation rates …. In the absence of autocorrelation in inflation, the risk premium is constant. If inflation is correlated, however, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288797