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inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
The original Keynesian paradigm differs from the Neoclassical Synthesis and even more so from the New-Keynesian approach. In this paper, a modern framework for the original Keynesian paradigm is presented. It will highlight the key elements of the paradigm. A model is developed to determine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010314657
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001048328
Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292328
financed by money creation and to destabilizing expectations dynamics that can occasionally divorce inflation from fundamentals …. Our maximum likelihood estimates allow us to interpret observed inflation rates in terms of variations in the deficits … that cut inflation without reforming deficits. Our estimates also allow us to infer the deficit adjustments that seem to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292362
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
We use an agent-based computational approach to show how inflation can worsen macroeconomic performance by disrupting … the mechanism of exchange in a decentralized market economy. We find that increasing the trend rate of inflation above 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284044
stronger bargaining position when they try to prevent a cut in money wages. If inflation is so low that some money wages have … to be cut, workers stronger bargaining position requires higher unemployment in equilibrium. However, inflation is more … stable when money wage rigidity binds, providing an incentive for monetary policy makers to choose a low target for inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398859
. Therefore, in periods with inflation generous tax depreciation provisions do not adequately promote private investment as … designed, but partly compensate such losses caused by inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399561