Showing 1 - 10 of 17
inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013543029
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003871923
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003395399
changeover, Italian retailers have increased the number of price adjustments, which has translated into a higher inflation rate … ; inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011167
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009162091
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003662094
With fixed costs of price and quantity adjustment, output effects of inflation depend on the elasticity of the firm …'s marginal real revenue. If the elasticity always exceeds minus unity, then output decreases with inflation, while if the … elasticity is always less than minus unity, then output increases with inflation. In the special case that the elasticity always …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003121028
This paper investigates the predictive power of the shadow rate for the inflation rate in countries with a zero lower … parameters we compare the out-of-sample forecasting performance of an inflation model including a shadow rate interaction term … inflation rate are evaluated. The models including the shadow rate interaction term are found to outperform the benchmark ones …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176885
estimating a smooth transition regression model with different inflation expectations regimes for five inflation targeting …) respectively over the period January 1993-August 2021. Both market and survey measures of inflation expectations are used as the … expectations of both consumers and producers are considered instead of expectations from consumer surveys only. Finally, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012806637
the traditional results on the impact of inflation. In particular, recent findings suggest that quantity-adjustment costs … may remove the linkage between output and inflation. We show that this is not the case when inflation is anticipated. On …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781569