This paper analyses the determinants of short-term inflation expectations based on surveys of professionals, using … dynamic cross-country panel estimation for a large number of 34 OECD economies. We find that food consumer price inflation and … depreciations of the domestic exchange rate have significant positive effects on professionals' survey-based inflation expectations …

This paper examines the causal effects of shifts in international food commodity prices on euro area inflation dynamics …%-30% of inflation volatility. In addition, large autonomous swings in international food prices contributed significantly to … the twin puzzle of missing disinflation and missing inflation in the era after the Great Recession. Specifically, without …

costs across product groups. We show that, after the referendum, inflation increased by more for product groups with higher …

We examine the relationship between inflation and fiscal sustainability with a two-step approach. In the first step, we … various measures of inflation such as headline inflation, core inflation, energy inflation, and food inflation affect the … estimate of fiscal sustainability found previously. Our findings indicate that higher inflation rates contribute positively to …

area inflation ; heterogeneity ; panel VAR model …

This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …