inflation by using a Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model, which is compared to a benchmark linear ARDL one. Using monthly data from the …, especially negative ones, have a stronger impact on inflation than OPU ones and capture some of the monetary policy uncertainty …, thereby reducing the direct effect of interest rate changes on inflation. Since EPU shocks reflect, at least to some extent …

This paper aims to show why Irving Fisher's own data on interest rates and inflation in New York, London, Paris, Berlin … changes in inflation, not even in the long run. In Fisher's data, interest rates have more persistence than inflation and … change less than inflation over time. The Fisher effect is a misnomer unless it is taken to refer to what Fisher actually …

We provide novel systematic cross-country evidence that the link between domestic labour markets and CPI inflation has … domestic labour cost changes to core CPI inflation decreased from 0.25 in the 1980s to just 0.02 in the 2010s, while the …

certain types of "money assets" may serve both as an indirect hedge against inflation in the two interpretations of the word …

We study how carbon pricing has affected inflation ex-post, using dynamic panel estimation of New-Keynesian Phillips … carbon taxes. We find that an increase in prices of ETS by $10 per ton of CO2 equivalents increases energy CPI inflation by 0 ….8 percentage points (pp), and headline inflation by 0.08pp, but has no significant effects on food and core CPI inflation. We also …

We study how domestic and global output gaps affect CPI inflation. We use a New-Keynesian Phillips curve framework …1-2017Q4 period. We find broadly that both global and domestic output gaps are significant drivers of inflation both in … output gaps on inflation. …

This paper examines the causal effects of shifts in international food commodity prices on euro area inflation dynamics …%-30% of inflation volatility. In addition, large autonomous swings in international food prices contributed significantly to … the twin puzzle of missing disinflation and missing inflation in the era after the Great Recession. Specifically, without …

We estimate a multi-country multi-sector New Keynesian model to quantify the drivers of domestic inflation during 2020 …–2023 in several countries, including the United States. The model matches observed inflation together with sector-level prices … and wages. We further measure the relative importance of different types of shocks on inflation across countries over time …