Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz - 2016 - First version: January 21, 2015. This version: September 13, 2015
shocks prior to July 2014, reflecting a slowing global economy, and $16 to positive oil supply shocks and to shocks to … with an unexpectedly weakening economy in December 2014, which lowered the price of oil by an additional $9 and $13 …