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Conditional yield skewness is an important summary statistic of the state of the economy. It exhibits pronounced … variation over the business cycle and with the stance of monetary policy, and a tight relationship with the slope of the yield … curve. Most importantly, variation in yield skewness has substantial forecasting power for future bond excess returns, high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547050
Theory predicts that the equilibrium real interest rate, r*t, and the perceived trend in inflation, ð*t, are key determinants of the term structure of interest rates. However, term structure analyses generally assume that these endpoints are constant. Instead, we show that allowing for time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011688099
The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (IRA) represents the largest climate policy action ever undertaken in the United States. Its legislative path was marked by two abrupt shifts as the likelihood of climate policy action fell to near zero and then rose to near certainty. We investigate equity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014422560