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We study the design of optimal monetary policy under uncertainty in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. We use a Markov jump-linear-quadratic (MJLQ) approach to study policy design, approximating the uncertainty by different discrete modes in a Markov chain, and by taking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759442
Two laboratory experiments - one a statistical urn problem, the other a monetary policy experiment - were run to test …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247633
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766427
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961
Recent interest in "Risk Management"has highlighted the relevance of Bayesian analysis for robust monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003747990
The paper examines the monetary-fiscal interactions in a monetary union model with uncertainty due to imperfect central bank transparency. We first show that monetary uncertainty disciplines fiscal policymakers and thereby reduces taxes, average inflation and output distortions. However, as more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003749682
This paper studies optimal discretionary policy with parameter uncertainty about inflation inertia. Optimal policy rules and impulse responses are presented within a hybrid New-Keynesian model estimated for the euro area by Smets (2003). We find that it may be optimal for policy to respond more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003208613
The enlargement of the European Monetary Union is likely to lead to an increase in uncertainty regarding the transmission of monetary policy for the larger union. Adding new members to the central bank council will in addition imply that the policy reaction of the enlarged council will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003110104
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001702821
general-equilibrium theory of exchange rate determination based on the interaction between monetary policy and time … volatility shocks is consistent with the empirical evidence. Furthermore we show that risk factors and interest-rate smoothing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123697