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At the onset of the COVID pandemic, the U.S. economy suddenly and swiftly lost 20 million jobs. Over the next two years, the economy has been on the recovery path. We assess the labor market two years into the COVID crisis. We show that early employment dynamics were almost entirely driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013362041
implied by new unemployment claims: we estimate 20 million lost jobs by April 8th, far more than jobs lost over the entire … rise in the unemployment rate over the corresponding period to be surprisingly small, only about 2 percentage points. Third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012206097
part-time workers. A one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate led to an average decline in real hourly wages … of new hires are not helpful for understanding the behaviour of unemployment over the business cycle. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761531
Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric …-in-differences event study research design that exploits cross-state variation in licensing laws to compare the unemployment rate between …, we find that licensing shields workers from a recession-induced increase in the unemployment rate of 0.82 p.p. during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544764
pandemic recession. We first measure the contribution of temporary layoffs to unemployment dynamics over the period 1979 to the … due to "loss-of-recall", whereby workers in temporary-layoff unemployment lose their job permanently and do so at higher … both temporary-layoff and jobless unemployment. The model captures well pre-pandemic unemployment dynamics and shows how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334353
Most economists maintain that the labor market in the United States is 'tight' because unemployment rates are low. They …, prior to that, real wages had been stagnant for some time. We show that unemployment is not key to understanding wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361977
institutions precede crises and, interestingly, positive reforms occur thereafter. Strong institutions shorten the duration of … interaction effect suggests they can be offset by appropriate institutions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010234524
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003775879
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003409126
had been in arrears in their house payments. Reductions in spending were common especially following unemployment. On …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008695800