implied by new unemployment claims: we estimate 20 million lost jobs by April 8th, far more than jobs lost over the entire … rise in the unemployment rate over the corresponding period to be surprisingly small, only about 2 percentage points. Third …

part-time workers. A one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate led to an average decline in real hourly wages … of new hires are not helpful for understanding the behaviour of unemployment over the business cycle. …

Licensed workers could be shielded from unemployment during recession since occupational licensing laws are asymmetric …-in-differences event study research design that exploits cross-state variation in licensing laws to compare the unemployment rate between …, we find that licensing shields workers from a recession-induced increase in the unemployment rate of 0.82 p.p. during …

pandemic recession. We first measure the contribution of temporary layoffs to unemployment dynamics over the period 1979 to the … due to "loss-of-recall", whereby workers in temporary-layoff unemployment lose their job permanently and do so at higher … both temporary-layoff and jobless unemployment. The model captures well pre-pandemic unemployment dynamics and shows how …

Most economists maintain that the labor market in the United States is 'tight' because unemployment rates are low. They …, prior to that, real wages had been stagnant for some time. We show that unemployment is not key to understanding wage …

institutions precede crises and, interestingly, positive reforms occur thereafter. Strong institutions shorten the duration of … interaction effect suggests they can be offset by appropriate institutions. …