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We estimate spillover effects of a fiscal shock in one member country in the euro area on outputs of the rest of the members, using a Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) model. We compare the effects of a domestic fiscal shock with those of a similar size area-wide shock expressed as a weighted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581972
When a bank experiences a negative shock to its equity, one way to return to target leverage is to sell assets. If … asset sales occur at depressed prices, then one bank's sales may impact other banks with common exposures, resulting in … explains how the distribution of bank leverage and risk exposures contributes to a form of systemic risk. We compute bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460123
market is endogenously formed. Bank assets are hit by idiosyncratic shocks drawn from a thin tailed distribution. The uneven … to be heavily indebted to other banks, their liquidation can trigger other bank failures. We find that the distribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490902
We provide a framework for studying the relationship between the financial network architecture and the likelihood of systemic failures due to contagion of counterparty risk. We show that financial contagion exhibits a form of phase transition as interbank connections increase: as long as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459934
This chapter develops a unified framework for the study of how network interactions can function as a mechanism for propagation and amplification of microeconomic shocks. The framework nests various classes of games over networks, models of macroeconomic risk originating from microeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457735
We provide evidence on the nature of the monetary transmission mechanism. To identify policy shocks in a setting with both economic and financial variables, we combine traditional monetary vector autoregression (VAR) analysis with high frequency identification (HFI) of monetary policy shocks. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458442
"sovereign yield shocks" transmit across countries in the Eurozone. Second, we estimate short-term supply and demand multipliers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482423
functional forms can overcome different sources of bias. The analysis is particularly relevant to the estimation of spillovers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489641
dictatorial regimes' rebuttal of World Bank calls to keep their export markets open in the face of the 2007 - 08 world food crisis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010485531
Large-scale financial and macroeconomic shocks directly affect some firms and households and indirectly impact others through general equilibrium spillovers. In this paper, I describe how researchers can estimate spillovers directly using quasi-experimental or experimental variation. I then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013191002