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Government spending and tax revenue decentralization and public sector efficiency : do natural disasters matter?

Afonso, António; Jalles, João Tovar; Venâncio, Ana - 2023

empirically link the public sector efficiency scores, to tax revenue and spending decentralization. First, we compute government …. The sample covers 36 OECD countries between 2006 and 2019. Our results show that tax revenue decentralization decreases … disasters also deteriorate the negative effect of tax revenue decentralization on public sector efficiency. These results …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014280082

Short and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields

Afonso, António - 2010

determinants, we resort to simulation and bootstrap methods for the analysis. Results based on the Common Correlated Effect …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732265

Long-run determinants of sovereign yields

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2010

We study sovereign bond yields in OECD countries with a dynamic panel by checking for cross-section dependence; assessing panel cointegration; and estimating panel error-correction models. The results show that markets consider budgetary and external imbalances and inflation as relevant...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008653417

Spend-and-tax : a panel data investigation for the EU

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

, we study the causality between government spending and revenue for the EU in the period 1960-2006. We find spend-and-tax … causality for Italy, France, Spain, Greece, and Portugal, while tax-and-spend evidence is present for Germany, Belgium, Austria … spend-and-tax strategy, implying adjustments of fiscal behaviour. -- panel causality ; fiscal policy ; EU …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861754

Monetary policy surprise shocks under different fiscal regimes : a panel analysis of the Euro Area

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Ionta, Serena - 2023

We study the effect of monetary policy surprise shocks on real output and the price level, conditioned on different fiscal stances in the period 2001Q4-2021Q4 for a panel of the 19 countries of the Euro Area. Applying local projection methodology, we find that the effect of monetary shocks...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014336399

Fiscal sustainability and the role of inflation

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Matvejevs, Oļegs; … - 2023

We examine the relationship between inflation and fiscal sustainability with a two-step approach. In the first step, we estimate to estimate a country-specific time-varying measure of fiscal sustainability using the fiscal reaction function. This function captures the response of the primary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444867

Drivers of fiscal sustainability : a time-varying analysis for Portugal

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2023

We assess the drivers of fiscal sustainability in Portugal during the period 1999Q4-2021Q4. We resort to expanding window and Schlicht (2003, 2021)'s time-varying approaches to construct the responses of government revenues to government expenditures and the responses of the primary government...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014391313

To consolidate or not to consolidate? : a multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Jalles, João Tovar - 2022

We assess the specific need (or its absence) of a country to implement a fiscal consolidation programme by focusing specifically on their degree of success, notably in terms of fiscal sustainability. The "need" to consolidate is based on having a primary balance above or below the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938962

Fiscal sustainability, fiscal reactions, pitfalls and determinants

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We conclude for the existence of panel cointegration between government revenues and expenditures; primary government balance and one-period lagged public debt-to-GDP ratio; and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162289

Does government spending efficiency improve fiscal sustainability?

Afonso, António; Alves, José - 2022

We evaluate the impact of government spending efficiency on fiscal sustainability for a panel of 35 OECD countries during the period of 2007-2020. To answer our research question we first compute the magnitude of the responses of government revenues to changes in government spending. Next, we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013187684