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The role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro area manufacturing production : perspective from large panel factor models

Darracq Pariès, Matthieu (contributor); … - 2008

Several factor-based models are estimated to investigate the role of country-specific trade and survey data in forecasting euro areamanufacturing production. Following Boivin and Ng (2006), the emphasis is put on the role of dataset selection on the empirical performance of factor models. First,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003778786

Why has the Euro been falling?

Sinn, Hans-Werner; Westermann, Frank - 2001

This paper reconsiders the determinants of the exchange rate by studying the historical episode after the fall of the Iron Curtain. Testing a modified portfolio balance model, we attribute the strength of the deutschmark in the early nineties and the puzzling decline of the euro during its...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398903

A non-standard monetary policy shock : the ECB’s 3-year LTROs and the shift in credit supply

Darracq Pariès, Matthieu; De Santis, Roberto A. - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765558

Financial conditions index and credit supply shocks for the euro area

Darracq Pariès, Matthieu; Maurin, Laurent; Moccero, Diego - 2014

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010380066

The minimum inflation rate for Euroland

Reutter, Michael; Sinn, Hans-Werner - 2000

As a result of the Balassa effect relative prices change rapidly between and within the euro countries. Thus it is impossible to find a common monetary policy that will result in price stability in all countries. Based on empirical estimates of the Balassa model, the paper calculates a minimum...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786718

Social union, convergence and migration

Sinn, Hans-Werner; Ochel, Wolfgang - 2003

need for social policies at the EU level. Social harmonisation would distort migration flows and slow down the speed of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507973

Optimal monetary policy and the transmission of oil-supply shocks to the euro area under rational expectations

Adjemian, Stéphane; Darracq Pariès, Matthieu - 2008

This paper presents first the estimation of a two-country DSGE model for the euro area and the rest-of-the-world including relevant oil-price channels. We then investigate the optimal resolution of the policy tradeoffs emanating from oil-price disturbances. Our simulations show that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003803330

Loan supply, credit markets and the euro area financial crisis

Altavilla, Carlo; Darracq Pariès, Matthieu; Nicoletti, … - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011448456

EU enlargement, migration and the new constitution

Sinn, Hans-Werner (contributor) - 2004

The paper deals with the effects of migration resulting from EU Eastern enlargement on the welfare states of Western … is a rational reaction of the state. The proposed new EU constitution which contains far-reaching rules for a European …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002523041

EU enlargement and the future of the welfare state

Sinn, Hans-Werner - 2000

The eastern expansion of the EU resembles German unification in its mometousness. Whereas the latter led to a 26 …% increase in the population of the Federal Republic, the former will increase the population of the EU by 28% if all ten entry … and western Eurpean countries, a massive westward migration can be expected after EU expansion. A temporary east …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781584