exposure led to persistently higher EU support in three important referenda and less success of Eurosceptic parties in …

We model EU countries' bank ratings using financial variables and allowing for intercept and slope heterogeneity. Our … aim is to assess whether "old" and "new" EU countries are rated differently and to determine whether "new" ones are … intercepts) are a crucial determinant of ratings. Whilst "new" EU countries typically have lower ratings than "old" ones, after …

functions which evaluate the entire predictive densities, including an evaluation of the impact of density features such as … individual density forecast performance. -- density forecasts ; forecast evaluation ; real-time data ; Survey of Professional …

Agreements (FTAs) on trade flows. In this paper we focus on FTAs (also called European agreements) between the European Union (EU … with the EU was signed exceeded trade growth of the control group of countries which did not become members. -- Trade …