Showing 1 - 10 of 459
This paper studies the volatility of commodity prices on the basis of a large dataset of monthly prices observed in … evidence does not actually attempt to measure the volatility of prices of individual goods or commodities. The literature tends … to focus on trends in the evolution and volatility of ratios of price indexes composed of multiple commodities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009489287
This paper revisits the well-known VAR evidence on the real effects of uncertainty shocks by Bloom (Econometrica 2009(3): 623-685. doi: 10.3982/ECTA6248). We replicate the results in a narrow sense using Eviews. In a wide sense, we extend his study by working with a smooth transition-VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012263375
We employ a parsimonious nonlinear Interacted-VAR to examine whether the real effects of uncertainty shocks are greater when the economy is at the ZeroLower Bound. We find the contractionary effects of uncertainty shocks to be statistically larger when the ZLB is binding, with differences that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718014
financial volatility. Uncertainty shocks hitting in recessions are found to trigger a more abrupt drop and a faster recovery in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718461
This paper applies volatility measures and VAR spectral analytic techniques to give a thorough description of the ….The central findings are summarized with regard to (i) national product share, contribution-to-variance and volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408998
This paper presents a dynamic theory of housing market fluctuations. It develops a life-cycle model where households are heterogeneous with respect to income and preferences, and mortgage lending is restricted by a down-payment requirement. The market interaction of young credit-constrained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398664
According to empirical studies, the life cycle of labor supply volatility exhibits a U-shaped pattern. This may lead to … the conclusion that demographic change induces a drop in output volatility. We present an overlapping generations model … that replicates the empirically observed pattern and study the impact of demographic transition on output volatility. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231628
firms can observe each other's decisions, they are able to increase the accuracy of their actions. While reducing volatility … at the individual level, social learning may lead to an increase in volatility at the aggregate level depending on the … network topology. Moreover, if the network is very asymmetric, aggregate volatility does not decay as predicted by the law of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489440
According to empirical studies, the life cycle of labor supply volatility exhibits a U-shaped pattern. This may lead to … the conclusion that demographic change induces a drop in output volatility. We present an overlapping generations model … that replicates the empirically observed pattern and study the impact of demographic transition on output volatility. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010489277
We propose a new instrument to identify uncertainty shocks in a SVAR model with external instruments. The instrument is constructed by exploiting variations in the price of gold around events that capture periods of changes in uncertainty. The variations in the price of gold around the events...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602536