Showing 1 - 10 of 20
World trade evolves at two margins. Where a bilateral trading relationship already exists it may increase through time … have not traded with each other in the past (extensive margin). We provide an empirical dissection of post-World-War- II … growth in manufacturing world trade along these two margins. We propose a "cornersolutions- version"of the gravity model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450770
America would be the largest preferential trade agreement in the world. Encompassing almost half of world GDP, it will have … strong economic effects on Germany. In this paper, we put this trade policy initiative in its broader perspective. We argue … project could increase per capita income in Germany by between 1 and 3%. We critically question the need for investor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010469280
Recent disruptions to global value chains (GVCs) have raised an important question: Can decoupling from GVCs increase a country’s welfare by reducing its exposure to foreign supply shocks? We use a quantitative trade model to simulate GVCs decoupling, defined as increased barriers to global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012514530
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003463001
Does trade openness cause higher GDP per capita? Since the seminal instrumental variables (IV) estimates of Frankel and Romer [F&R](1999) important doubts have surfaced. Is the correlation spurious and driven by omitted geographical and institutional variables? In this paper, we generalize F&R's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009240715
Growth theory predicts that natural disasters should, on impact, lower GDP per capita. However, the empirical literature does not offer conclusive evidence. Most existing studies use disaster data drawn from damage records of insurance companies. We argue that this may lead to estimation bias as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199740
gains for Germany (+3.5%), Europe (3.9%), and the world (+1.6%), but that it could also harm third countries. … since the Uruguay Round (1986 to 1994). It would create a free trade zone covering 45% of world GDP. However, critics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418142
Has the Kyoto Protocol induced carbon leakage? We conduct the first empirical ex-post evaluation of the Protocol. We derive a theoretical gravity equation for the CO2 content of trade, which accounts for intermediate inputs, both domestic and imported. The structure of our new panel database of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009383458
tariffs ; retaliation ; tariff wars ; heterogeneous firms ; World Trade Organization ; Nash equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130204
We build on the latest developments in the structural gravity literature to quantify the partial and general equilibrium effects of GATT/WTO membership on trade and welfare. Using an extensive database covering manufacturing trade for 186 countries over the period 1980-2016, we find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012287974