cycle. While wages of the median establishment are moderately procyclical, 36 percent of establishments have countercyclical … wages. We estimate a negative connection between establishments' wage cyclicality and their employment cyclicality, thereby …

firm level analysis for which we exploit a unique microeconomic data set for Germany. Inspired by this finding, we … subsequent recession in Germany even though it was by far not the main driver. -- oil price shock ; VAR model ; micro data …

This paper studies the long-run relationship between consumption, asset wealth and income in Germany, based on data … these three variables from their common trend signal changes in asset prices, we find that for Germany they predict changes … Germany than in the Anglo-Saxon economies and the share of publicly traded equity in household wealth is much smaller in …

shocks and the shock propagation processes. Thus, I conclude that business cycle stabilization in Germany is driven by both …

This paper deals with the estimation of the output gap. We use uni- and bivariate unobserved components models in order … ifo business assessment variable as an indicator for the cycle the estimation of the output gap is much more precise and …