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Turnovsky (1995) derives in a continuous-time model of a decentralized economy that the correct specification of the firm's objective function is to maximize the initial value of its outstanding securities. The firm value is the discounted flow of real earnings. For the discrete-time version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003966553
We develop interpretable, quantitative indices of the objective and subjective complexity of lottery choice problems that can be computed for any standard dataset. These indices capture the predicted error rate in identifying the lottery with the highest expected value, where the predictions are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014340230
when a decision is complex, they implicitly treat different time delays to some degree alike. By experimentally measuring … when the decision environment is more complex. Third, cognitive uncertainty matters for choice architecture: people who are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012697938
preferences. Among the behavioral patterns that allow for a clear-cut interpretation on the decision level, we find that roughly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014556632
We conduct an incentivized experiment on a nationally representative US sample (N=708) to test whether people prefer to avoid ambiguity even when it means choosing dominated options. In contrast to the literature, we find that 55% of subjects prefer a risky act to an ambiguous act that always...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014426529
We experimentally test overconfidence in investment decisions by offering participants the possibility to substitute their own for alternative investment choices. Overall, 149 subjects participated in two experiments, one with just one risky asset, the other with two risky assets. Overconfidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011408444
are information seeking otherwise. Because belief updating depends on the decision problem in which new information is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557745
This book is an exploration of the ubiquity of ambiguity in decision-making under uncertainty. It presents various …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012400023
explain a set of behavioral anomalies identified across four distinct domains of decision-making: choice under risk, choice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138914
We formulate a simple quantum decision model of the Ellsberg paradox. We report the results of an experiment we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011877824