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This paper studies the social value of public information in environments without common knowledge of data-generating process. We show that the stronger is the coordination motive behind agents behaviour, the more they would like to interpret private or public signals in the way that they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009522297
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003497780
The paper examines the optimal combination of central bank independence and conservatism in the presence of uncertain central bank preferences. We develop a model of endogenous monetary policy delegation in which government chooses the central bank's degree of inde-pendence and conservatism so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009010174
We examine "Forward Guidance Contracts", which make central bankers' utility contingent on the precision of interest-rate forecasts for some time. Such Forward Guidance Contracts are a exible commitment device and can improve economic performance when the economy is stuck in a liquidity trap....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528970
There has been a remarkable rise in the transparency of monetary policy during the last two decades. This paper provides an overview of the ways in which central banks have been providing more information about their monetary policymaking. Furthermore, it reviews the theoretical literature on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010237274
Many central banks have become more transparent during the last decade, in particular about macroeconomic prospects. This paper shows that such economic transparency could give central banks greater flexibility to respond to macroeconomic shocks. In particular, it allows central banks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249689
We study how the optimal degree of conservatism relates to decision-making procedures in a Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). In our framework, central bank conservatism is required to attenuate the volatility of monetary decisions generated by the presence of uncertainty about the committee...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391838
In currency exchange markets, there is a conflict between individual decisions and the socially optimal solution. Whereas agents have a coordination motive to take the same position, at the social level effective market coordination per se is not socially valuable, and the central bank aims at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521683
Every monetary policy decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is accompanied by a written statement about the state of the economy and the policy outlook, but only every second decision by a published interest rate forecast. We exploit this difference to study the relative influences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011926064
Historical Origins of Uncertainty in Economic Theory -- Theoretical Foundations of Monetary Policy under Uncertainty … from a market perspective or from a central bank perspective. Contents Historical Origins of Uncertainty in Economic Theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014017452