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Banks' portfolio of government debt and sovereign risk

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Monteiro, Sofia - 2023

We analyze domestic, foreign, and central banks holdings of public debt for 31 countries for the period of 1989-2022, applying panel regressions and quantile analysis. We conclude that an increase in sovereign risk raises the share of domestic banks' portfolio of public debt and reduces the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383613

Determinants of stock market correlations : accounting for model uncertainty and reverse causality in a large panel setting

Afonso, António; Beck, Krzysztof; Jackson, Karen - 2022

We examine 22 determinants of stock market correlations in a panel setting with 651 country pairs of developed economies over the 2001-2018 period, while accounting for model uncertainty and reverse causality. On the one hand, we find, that a number of determinants, well established in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380503

"Whatever it takes" to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? : bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects

Afonso, António; Arghyrou, Michael Georgiou; Gadea, … - 2017

This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735972

Bank regulation and sovereign risk : a paradox

Afonso, António; Teixeira, André - 2023

This paper investigates the impact of banking prudential regulation on sovereign risk. We show that prudential … regulation reduces sovereign risk and induces governments to spend more. As a result, countries with tight prudential regulation … have lower primary budget balances and accumulate more government debt over time. We find that prudential regulation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281475

Beyond borders : assessing the influence of geopolitical tensions on sovereign risk dynamics

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Monteiro, Sofia - 2023

We assess the impact of geopolitical risk and world uncertainty on the sovereign debt risk of 26 European Economies during the period 1984-2022, through the implementation of OLS-Fixed Effects regressions and the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). We find that geopolitical tensions and global...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442414

Unconventional monetary policy in the euro area : impacts on loans, employment, and investment

Afonso, António; Pereira, Francisco Gomes - 2022

Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy on a micro panel at the bank and firm level, we study the transmission effectiveness of ECB’s large-scale asset purchasing programs programs (i.e. APP and PEPP) in the Euro area. Our findings show: first, balance sheet composition of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888479

Minimum wage and collective bargaining reforms : a narrative database for advanced economies

Afonso, António; Jalles, João Tovar; Venter, Zoe - 2022

This paper presents and describes a new database of major minimum wage and collective bargaining reforms covering 26 advanced economies over the period 1970-2020. The main advantage of this dataset is the precise identification of the nature and date of major reforms, which is valuable in many...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176915

The effects of monetary policy surprises and fiscal sustainability regimes in the Euro Area

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Ionta, Serena - 2023

We study the effect of monetary surprise shocks on real output and the price level, conditioned on different fiscal sustainability regimes in the period 2001Q4-2021Q4. First, we estimate time-varying fiscal sustainability coefficients based on Bohn's (1998) approach through Schlicht's (2003)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014313459