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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001702821
The enlargement of the European Monetary Union is likely to lead to an increase in uncertainty regarding the transmission of monetary policy for the larger union. Adding new members to the central bank council will in addition imply that the policy reaction of the enlarged council will be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003110104
euro area covering the real economy, monetary policy and measures of ex ante and ex post systemic risk representing … take a risk management perspective, One exercise considers the intertemporal financial stability trade-off in the context …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343148
In this paper, we investigate the presence of non-linearities in the transmission of geopolitical risk (GPR) shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015163238
-varying uncertainty, highlighted in the literature. -- Ss model ; RBC model ; lumpy investment ; countercyclical risk ; aggregate shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898815
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766337
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009766427
The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009772961
-sectional firm dynamics ; lumpy investment ; countercyclical risk ; aggregate shocks ; idiosyncratic shocks ; heterogeneous firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003888063
This paper proposes a procedure to investigate the nature and persistence of the forces governing the yield curve and to use the extracted information for forecasting purposes. The latent factors of a model of the Nelson-Siegel type are directly linked to the maturity of the yields through the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003782668