This paper investigates political uncertainty as a source of regulatory risk. It shows that political parties have … incentives to reduce regulatory risk actively: Mutually beneficial pre-electoral agreements that reduce regulatory risk always … skewed. These results follow from a fluctuation effect of regulatory risk that hurts parties and an output-expansion effect …

The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about …

Recent interest in "Risk Management"has highlighted the relevance of Bayesian analysis for robust monetary …