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Several developing economies witnessed a large number of systemic financial and currency crises since the 1980s which resulted in severe economic, social, and political problems. The devastating impact of the 1982 and 1994-95 Mexican crises, the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis, the 1998 Russian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003887495
This paper proposes a macro-prudential financial soundness analysis that can be used by most developing and transformation countries with or without crisis experience as well as by developed countries with limited data. The objective is to detect economic and financial sector vulnerability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897420
employment. Theory decides the nature and kind of policy, and the underlying mechanics that result in expansion. Keynes (1964 … backwardation that stimulate economic activity. We conclude, like Keynes, that fiscal policy is the reliable path to economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320884
This paper reviews the performance of the euro area since the euro's launch 20 years ago. It argues that the euro crisis has exposed existential flaws in the euro regime. Intra-area divergences and the corresponding buildup of imbalances had remained unchecked prior to the crisis. As those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011894027
The paper analyses the common European monetary policy based on a Mises-Hayek overinvestment framework, which is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619626
This paper traces the evolution of John Maynard Keynes's theory of the business cycle from his early writings in 1913 … major changes in the evolution of Keynes's business cycle theories: a) the saving- investment framework to understand … conclusions are drawn about the present relevance of the policy mix Keynes promoted for ensuring macroeconomic stability. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487521
In this paper we suggest that Eurozone countries face a policy trade-off among: 1) a common rule imposing co-movements in fiscal policy; 2) financial stability; and 3) financial integration. We provide empirical evidence documenting the existence of such a trade-off in the period characterized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010533078
Historically high levels of private and public debt coupled with already very low short-term interest rates appear to limit the options for stimulative monetary policy in many advanced economies today. One option that has not yet been considered is monetary financing by central banks to boost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389179
We assess the sustainability of the public finances of Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain (GIIPS), allowing for possible non-linearities in the form of threshold behaviour of the fiscal authorities. We provide some evidence of fiscal sustainability when debt gets "too high" relative to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009307965
One of the main contributions of Modern Money Theory (MMT) has been to explain why monetarily sovereign governments have a very flexible policy space that is unencumbered by hard financial constraints. Through a detailed analysis of the institutions and practices surrounding the fiscal and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010197674