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Forecasting exports across Europe : what are the superior survey indicators?

Lehmann, Robert - 2019 - This version: September 6, 2019

branches to forecasting export growth across a multitude of European countries. Our pseudo out-of-sample analyses reveal that … indicators are superior: the Export Climate, the Production Expectations of domestic manufacturing firms, the Industrial … forecasters in order to choose the best-performing indicators and thus increasing the accuracy of export forecasts. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104016

Fickle fossils : economic growth, coal and the European oil invasion, 1900-2015

Fritzsche, Miriam; Wolf, Nikolaus - 2023

Fossil fuels have shaped the European economy since the industrial revolution. We use new long-run panel data to analyse the effect of both, coal and oil on economic growth between 1900 and 2015, exploiting variation at the level of European NUTS2 and NUTS3 regions. We show that the reversal of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442780

The Covid-19 pandemic and European trade patterns : a sectoral analysis

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Sova, Anamaria Diana; Sova, … - 2022

This paper examines how the Covid-19 pandemic affected European trade patterns. Specifically, dynamic panel data models are estimated to assess the effects on exports and imports of various sectors and products (selected on the basis of their trading volume or strategic importance) of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013457807

Sustainable stocks and the Russian war on Ukraine : an event study in Europe

Kick, Andreas; Rottmann, Horst - 2022

The popularity of sustainable investments is unbroken and attracts investors and researchers alike. Modelling the properties of such 'green' firms, Pástor, Stambaugh, and Taylor 2021 consider a hedge against climate risks in their theoretical model. Likewise, it could be assumed that companies...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013255954

European market integration for gas? : volume flexibility and political risk

Asche, Frank; Osmundsen, Petter; Tveterås, Ragnar - 2000

substantial price differences between gas from different export countries, and do prices move together? Time series of Norwegian …, Dutch and Russian gas export prices to Germany in 1990-1998 are examined. Cointegration tests show that the different border …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781639

Trade, trust and institutions

Yu, Shu; Haan, Jakob de; Beugelsdijk, Sjoerd - 2011

To investigate the relation between trust and formal institutions, we analyze bilateral trade patterns in a sample of 16 European countries between 1996-2009. Trust in trading partners has a significant positive effect on bilateral trade. However, our results suggest that trust and formal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009300684

Which conflicts can the European neighbourhood policy help resolve?

Thorvaldur Gylfason; Wijkman, Per Magnus - 2012

Under what conditions can the European Neighbourhood Policy achieve one of its main objectives: to resolve conflicts in the European Union's neighbourhood? In the spirit of Montesquieu and Monnet, the basic hypothesis of the EU is that closer economic integration encourages governments to take...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009571288

Phasing out nuclear power in Europe

Aune, Finn Roar; Golombek, Rolf; Hallre, Hilde - 2015

We explore the impact of an EU-wide nuclear phase-out by 2030 provided the EU energy and climate policy for 2030 is implemented. Using a numerical simulation model of the European energy industry (LIBEMOD), we find that a complete nuclear phase-out in Europe by 2030 has a moderate impact on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281296

European identity and redistributive preferences

Costa-Font, Joan; Cowell, Frank A. - 2015

How important is spatial identity in shifting preferences for redistribution? This paper takes advantage of within-country variability in the adoption of a single currency as an instrument to examine the impact of the rescaling of spatial identity in Europe. We draw upon data from the last three...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286518

On the roles of different foreign currencies in European bank lending

Krogstrup, Signe; Tille, Cédric - 2015

We draw on a new data set on the use of Swiss francs and other currencies by European banks to assess the patterns of foreign currency bank lending. We show that the patterns differ sharply across foreign currencies. The Swiss franc is used predominantly for lending to residents, especially...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011344732