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Do China and Russia undermine US sanctions? : evidence from DiD and event study estimation
Gutmann, Jerg; Neuenkirch, Matthias; Neumeier, Florian - 2022
panel difference-in-differences estimations and an event study design. Motivated by the claim that China and Russia … purposefully undermine US sanction efforts, we test whether target countries' trade with China and Russia increases under US trade … sanctions. We find no evidence for systematic sanction busting. Russia does not change its trade patterns with sanctioned …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013455721
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Cutting through the value chain : the long-run effects of decoupling the East from the West
Felbermayr, Gabriel; Mahlkow, Hendrik; Sandkamp, … - 2022
With ever-increasing political tensions between China and Russia on one side and the EU and the US on the other, it … to cooperate rather than turning away from each other. By imposing a trade war on Russia, the political West could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186412
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Did Trump's trade war impact the 2018 election?
Blanchard, Emily J.; Bown, Chad P.; Chor, Davin - 2020
We find that Republican candidates lost support in the 2018 congressional election in counties more exposed to trade retaliation, but saw no commensurate electoral gains from US tariff protection. The electoral losses were driven by retaliatory tariffs on agricultural products, and were only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012293757
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The US-China trade war and the relocation of global value chains to Mexico
Utar, Hâle; Zurita, Alfonso Cebreros; Torres Ruiz, … - 2023
Did the 2018/19 US-China trade war trigger adjustment of Global Value Chains (GVCs) and nearshoring to Mexico? We address this question with confidential longitudinal firm-level trade data from Mexico that covers the universe of international trade transactions over 2015-2021. By merging the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014340112
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Tariffs tax the poor more : evidence from household consumption during the US-China trade war
Ma, Hong; Macedoni, Luca; Ning, Jingxin; Xu, Mingzhi - 2025
Using disaggregated US household expenditure data, we study the distributional consequences of the US-China trade war. We estimate a highly flexible demand system to compute household-specific price indexes. The increases in US tariffs on Chinese products between 2018 and 2019 led to an average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015179224
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The smoot-hawley trade war
Mitchener, Kris; Wandschneider, Kirsten; O'Rourke, … - 2021
We document the outbreak of a trade war after the U.S. adopted the Smoot-Hawley tariff in June 1930. U.S. trade partners initially protested the possible implementation of the sweeping tariff legislation, with many eventually choosing to retaliate by increasing their tariffs on imports from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012491602
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The trade impact of the Covid-19 pandemic
Liu, Xuepeng; Ornelas, Emanuel; Shi, Huimin - 2021
Using a gravity-like approach, we study how Covid-19 deaths and lockdown policies affected countries' imports from China during 2020. We find that a country's own Covid-19 deaths and lockdowns significantly reduced its imports from China, suggesting that the negative demand effects prevailed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533941
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The surprisingly swift decline of U.S. manufacturing employment
Pierce, Justin R.; Schott, Peter K. - 2014
This paper finds a link between the sharp drop in U.S. manufacturing employment beginning in 2001 and a change in U.S. trade policy that eliminated potential tariff increases on Chinese imports. Industries where the threat of tariff hikes declines the most experience more severe employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010229883
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Mining matters : natural resource extraction and local business constraints
Haas, Ralph de; Poelhekke, Steven - 2016
We estimate the impact of local mining activity on the business constraints experienced by 22,150 firms across eight resource-rich countries. We find that with the presence of active mines, the business environment in the immediate vicinity (20 km) of a firm deteriorates but business constraints...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011565667
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Trade retaliation in a monetary-trade model
Whalley, John; Yu, Jun; Zhang, Shunming - 2009
We explore how outcomes of trade policy retaliation (Nash tariff games) are affected when trade simultaneously takes places geographically across countries and through time via financial intermediation. In such models deficits and surpluses in goods trade are endogenously determined, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003806727