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Secular stagnation : insights from a new Keynesian model with hysteresis effects

Aarle, Bas van - 2016

To analyse the most important aspects of the Secular Stagnation hypothesis, this paper considers the effects of hysteresis in potential output in a New-Keynesian model that is extended with endogenous potential output. To do so, a number of simulations of relevant scenarios is undertaken. It is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444072

Transatlantic monetary and fiscal policy interaction

Aarle, Bas van; Garretsen, Harry; Huart, Florence - 2003

This paper studies the design, effects and interactions of monetary and fiscal policies in the euro-area and between the euro-area and the non euro-area. To do so, a stylized three-country model of monetary and fiscal policy rules is constructed. It is analyzed how monetary and fiscal rules...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509484

What do we know about the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy? : a brief survey of the literature on fiscal multipliers

Castelnuovo, Efrem; Lim, Guay C. - 2018

This article reviews recent research findings on the effects of fiscal multipliers in normal times, during booms/busts, and in the presence of the zero lower bound. Studies on the effects of fiscal policy in open economy settings as well as contributions on the fiscal-monetary policy mix are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933907

Monetary and fiscal policy interaction in the EMU : a dynamic game approach

Aarle, Bas van; Engwerda, Jacob Christiaan; Plasmans, … - 2001

The interaction of monetary and fiscal policies is a crucial issue in a highly integrated economic area as the European Union. We argue that EMU, which introduced a common monetary policy and restrictions on fiscal policy at the national level, increases the need for macroeconomic policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398097

Staying together or breaking apart : policy-makers endogenous coalitions formation in the European economic and monetary union

Aarle, Bas van; Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni; Engwerda, … - 2002

In this paper, we analyze coordination of macroeconomic stabilization policies within the EMU by focusing, in a dynamic set-up, on asymmetries, externalities, and the existence of a multi-country context. We study how coalitions among fiscal and monetary authorities are formed and what are their...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410410

Macroeconomic stabilization policies in the EMU : spillovers, asymmetries, and institutions

Di Bartolomeo, Giovanni; Engwerda, Jacob Christiaan; … - 2005

This paper studies the institutional design of the coordination of macroeconomic stabilization policies within a monetary union in the framework of linear quadratic differential games. A central role in the analysis plays the partitioned game approach of the endogenous coalition formation...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002572274

Monetary and fiscal policy design under EMU : a dynamic game approach

Aarle, Bas van; Engwerda, Jacob Christiaan; Plasmans, … - 2000

This paper analyzes the problem of designing macroeconomic stabilization policies within the European Monetary Union (EMU) as a dynamic game between a centralized monetary authority, the European Central Bank (ECB), and national fiscal policy makers. Non-cooperative feedback Nash equilibrium and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781533

Liquidity traps and large-scale financial crises

Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Damette, Olivier; … - 2018

This paper estimates a nonlinear Threshold-VAR to investigate if a Keynesian liquidity trap due to a speculative motive … of the liquidity effect after an unexpected increase in M2 in the 1921-1940 period. This evidence, which is consistent … with the Keynesian view on a liquidity trap, is shown to be state contingent. In particular, it emerges only when a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011863616

Are fiscal multipliers estimated with proxy-SVARs robust?

Angelini, Giovanni; Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2020

How large are government spending and tax multipliers? The fiscal proxy-SVAR literature provides heterogenous estimates, depending on which proxies - fiscal or non-fiscal - are used to identify fiscal shocks. We reconcile the existing estimates via a flexible vector autoregressive model that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249273

The impact of fiscal rules on public finances : theory and empirical evidence for the Euro area

Marneffe, Wim; Aarle, Bas van; Wielen, Wouter van der; … - 2010

This paper presents a review of the most significant fiscal rules policymakers can choose from. The insights from this review are then applied to the current budgetary situation of the European Union. In the European Union, the supranational Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) should provide the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008808242