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What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? : a panel data diagnostic

Afonso, António (contributor); … - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003641707

Spend-and-tax : a panel data investigation for the EU

Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - 2009

, we study the causality between government spending and revenue for the EU in the period 1960-2006. We find spend … Finland and the UK, and for several EU New Member States. Moreover, in the run-up to EMU there was some shifting away from a … spend-and-tax strategy, implying adjustments of fiscal behaviour. -- panel causality ; fiscal policy ; EU …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003861754

Who needs foreign banks?

Gros, Daniel - 2003

10 countries from Central and Eastern Europe (CEEC) that will join the EU in 2004/7 the banking system is now dominated …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011508110

Asymmetries in the trans-Atlantic monetary policy relationship : does the ECB follow the Fed?

Belke, Ansgar (contributor); Gros, Daniel (contributor) - 2005

The belief that the ECB follows the US Federal Reserve in setting its policy is so entrenched with market participants and commentators that the search for empirical support would seem to be a trivial task. However, this is not the case. We find that the ECB is indeed often influenced by the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002749782

Fiscal sustainability, fiscal reactions, pitfalls and determinants

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2022

We examine the sustainability of public finances and its determinants for 19 Eurozone countries from 1995 to 2020. We conclude for the existence of panel cointegration between government revenues and expenditures; primary government balance and one-period lagged public debt-to-GDP ratio; and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162289

Unconventional monetary policy in the euro area : impacts on loans, employment, and investment

Afonso, António; Pereira, Francisco Gomes - 2022

Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy on a micro panel at the bank and firm level, we study the transmission effectiveness of ECB’s large-scale asset purchasing programs programs (i.e. APP and PEPP) in the Euro area. Our findings show: first, balance sheet composition of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888479

To consolidate or not to consolidate? : a multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Jalles, João Tovar - 2022

We assess the specific need (or its absence) of a country to implement a fiscal consolidation programme by focusing specifically on their degree of success, notably in terms of fiscal sustainability. The "need" to consolidate is based on having a primary balance above or below the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938962

One size must fit all : national divergences in a monetary union

Gros, Daniel; Hefeker, Carsten - 2000

decisions on the EU-wide average of inflation and growth or should it instead focus on (appropriately weighted) national rates …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781604

"Whatever it takes" to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? : bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects

Afonso, António; Arghyrou, Michael Georgiou; Gadea, … - 2017

This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735972

Budgetary constrained governments : drivers of time varying fiscal sustainability in OECD countries

Afonso, António; Coelho, José Carlos - 2024

We assess the drivers of fiscal sustainability in 20 OECD economies between 1950 and 2019. We find stable long-term relationships between government revenues and expenditures as well as between the primary budget balance and past public debt ratio for the full panel. Performing an expanding...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014543858