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Macroprudential capital regulation and fiscal balances in the euro area

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Kolb, Benedikt - 2024

in macroprudential capital regulation. Our findings suggest a dichotomy between country groups. In peripheral countries … core countries, the cyclically adjusted primary balance ratio barely reacts to a sudden tightening in capital regulation. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014485633

Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis : evidence for the Euro Area

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2011

This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of banks during the slump of the real economy that followed the financial crisis. In particular, we seek to quantify the macroeconomic effects of adverse loan supply shocks, which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009012054

Banks' portfolio of government debt and sovereign risk

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Monteiro, Sofia - 2023

We analyze domestic, foreign, and central banks holdings of public debt for 31 countries for the period of 1989-2022, applying panel regressions and quantile analysis. We conclude that an increase in sovereign risk raises the share of domestic banks' portfolio of public debt and reduces the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383613

Financial frictions and inflation differentials in a monetary union

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2010

This paper employs a stylized New Keynesian DSGE model for a monetary union to analyze whether cyclical inflation differentials can be explained by cross-country differences concerning the characteristics of financial markets. Our results suggest that empirically plausible degrees of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732365

Determinants of stock market correlations : accounting for model uncertainty and reverse causality in a large panel setting

Afonso, António; Beck, Krzysztof; Jackson, Karen - 2022

We examine 22 determinants of stock market correlations in a panel setting with 651 country pairs of developed economies over the 2001-2018 period, while accounting for model uncertainty and reverse causality. On the one hand, we find, that a number of determinants, well established in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013380503

Banking regulation and sovereign default risk : how regulation undermines rules

Hülsewig, Oliver; Steinbach, Armin - 2024

Banking regulation invites banks to gamble when buying government bonds that regulators consider to be risk-free. The … regulation in order to enhance their ﬁscal leeway. We examine an unintended side-eﬀect of banking regulation, namely the zero … area periphery countries to a restrictive macroprudential capital regulation shock. We ﬁnd that, unlike in the US, euro …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576947

The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2012

This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction of Euro-area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest-rate setting behavior in response to standard macroeconomic shocks. Our main empirical finding is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009631665

"Whatever it takes" to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? : bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects

Afonso, António; Arghyrou, Michael Georgiou; Gadea, … - 2017

This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735972

Bank regulation and sovereign risk : a paradox

Afonso, António; Teixeira, André - 2023

This paper investigates the impact of banking prudential regulation on sovereign risk. We show that prudential … regulation reduces sovereign risk and induces governments to spend more. As a result, countries with tight prudential regulation … have lower primary budget balances and accumulate more government debt over time. We find that prudential regulation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281475

Beyond borders : assessing the influence of geopolitical tensions on sovereign risk dynamics

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Monteiro, Sofia - 2023

We assess the impact of geopolitical risk and world uncertainty on the sovereign debt risk of 26 European Economies during the period 1984-2022, through the implementation of OLS-Fixed Effects regressions and the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). We find that geopolitical tensions and global...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442414