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Agreements (FTAs) on trade flows. In this paper we focus on FTAs (also called European agreements) between the European Union (EU … with the EU was signed exceeded trade growth of the control group of countries which did not become members. -- Trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003763931
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the euro area, and investigates the linkages between them in a VAR framework, also allowing for the possible impact of the policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003871923
This paper examines the process of price discovery in the MTS system, which builds on the parallel quoting of euro-denominated government securities on a number of (relatively large) domestic markets and on a (relatively small) European marketplace (EuroMTS). Using twenty-seven months of daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937257
provide our own estimates for the EU countries. A fiscal expansion raises output and consumption and reduces the trade balance … open EU economies, consistent with larger leakage effects. Further direct estimates suggest that fiscal expansions in large … EU economies have non-negligible consequences for economic activity in the main trading partners. This provides a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003937804
We model EU countries' bank ratings using financial variables and allowing for intercept and slope heterogeneity. Our … aim is to assess whether "old" and "new" EU countries are rated differently and to determine whether "new" ones are … intercepts) are a crucial determinant of ratings. Whilst "new" EU countries typically have lower ratings than "old" ones, after …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974520
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003623944
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599497
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003395399
In this paper we model the volatility of the spread between the overnight interest rate and the central bank policy rate (the policy spread) for the euro area and the UK during the two main phases of the financial crisis that began in late 2007. During the crisis, the policy spread exhibited...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003983199