Showing 1 - 10 of 14
World trade evolves at two margins. Where a bilateral trading relationship already exists it may increase through time … have not traded with each other in the past (extensive margin). We provide an empirical dissection of post-World-War- II … growth in manufacturing world trade along these two margins. We propose a "cornersolutions- version"of the gravity model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450770
Has the Kyoto Protocol induced carbon leakage? We conduct the first empirical ex-post evaluation of the Protocol. We derive a theoretical gravity equation for the CO2 content of trade, which accounts for intermediate inputs, both domestic and imported. The structure of our new panel database of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009383458
Does trade openness cause higher GDP per capita? Since the seminal instrumental variables (IV) estimates of Frankel and Romer [F&R](1999) important doubts have surfaced. Is the correlation spurious and driven by omitted geographical and institutional variables? In this paper, we generalize F&R's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009240715
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003463001
America would be the largest preferential trade agreement in the world. Encompassing almost half of world GDP, it will have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010469280
Do the U.S. have a current account surplus or a deficit with the EU? Since 2009, official sources disagree: The U.S. Department of Commerce claims a consistent U.S. surplus while Eurostat reports the opposite. International transactions are notoriously difficult to measure accurately, but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012065058
Using a new, global data base covering the years 1950 to 2015, we study the impact of sanctions on international trade and welfare. We make use of the rich dimensionality of our data and of the latest developments in the structural gravity literature. Starting with a broad evaluation by sanction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031035
since the Uruguay Round (1986 to 1994). It would create a free trade zone covering 45% of world GDP. However, critics … gains for Germany (+3.5%), Europe (3.9%), and the world (+1.6%), but that it could also harm third countries. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010418142
Climate research suggests that global warming will lead to more frequent and more extreme natural disasters. Most disasters are local events with effects on local economic activity. Hence, assessing their economic impacts with the help of econometric country-level analysis may lead to biased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011872945
Growth theory predicts that natural disasters should, on impact, lower GDP per capita. However, the empirical literature does not offer conclusive evidence. Most existing studies use disaster data drawn from damage records of insurance companies. We argue that this may lead to estimation bias as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199740